Bachelor - Bachelorette - Statistics - NO Discussion - *Sleuthing - Spoilers*
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Re: Bachelor - Bachelorette - Statistics - NO Discussion - *Sleuthing - Spoilers*
GuardianAngel wrote:GuardianAngel wrote:GuardianAngel wrote:RachelLadybug82 wrote:MTA pics are up...
Source
snipped
Source
https://www.bachandbachettefans.net/search?is_tag=true&search_keywords=mentellall&show_results=posts&start=48
JoJo
theknotnews.com
Des
people.com
snipped see previous page for earlier seasons of both TB and The Bachelorette.
Becca
https://www.bachandbachettefans.net/t4877p24-bachelorette-14-becca-kufrin-episode-10-july-30th-mta-sleuthing-spoilers
Hannah
https://www.bachandbachettefans.net/t5277p288-bachelorette-15-hannah-brown-july-22-mta-sleuthing-spoilers#1403787
Think it's important to note......F3 Peter wasn't at the MTA so seat placement matters here IMO. Also of note, after Peter and Luke P(whom we can eliminate as the next prospective lead) the next one eliminated was Mike so IMO the next lead prospective idea may not have a place with this.
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Re: Bachelor - Bachelorette - Statistics - NO Discussion - *Sleuthing - Spoilers*
FIR's
Matt - Abigail
Hawaii Girl wrote:snipped
From the past few seasons -
Peter - HA was F1 (because Madison eliminated herself, she would've been F2 otherwise IMO)
Colton - Hannah G was F2
Arie - Chelsea was F8
Nick - Rachel was F3
Ben H - Olivia was F8
Chris - Britt was F6
Juan Pablo - Sharleen was F6 (eliminated herself)
Sean - Tierra was F6
Ben F - Lindzi was F2
Matt - Abigail
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Re: Bachelor - Bachelorette - Statistics - NO Discussion - *Sleuthing - Spoilers*
HEA wrote:
bachelordata
Your 24 hour Instagram growth update is here! If you're new around here, check out the information below.
People are ordered by most followers to least.
The blue line chart is included to show growth rate. The y-axis is not consistent across contestants.
🟦 Blue box how each person ranks in total followers gained.
Pink box shows how each person ranks for growth RATE.
(: ABC)
Clic to check all the guys
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NO SPOILERS in any threads other than those titled Spoilers.
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Re: Bachelor - Bachelorette - Statistics - NO Discussion - *Sleuthing - Spoilers*
HEA wrote:
HEA wrote:
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bachelordata
What can we expect from the First Impression Rose recipient? A lot - but only from The Bachelorette trends. FIR recipients last pretty far on The Bachelorette looking at the last 12 seasons! (: ABC
HEA wrote:
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bachelordata
What can you expect on tomorrow's premiere of The Bachelorette? The order of limo exits, while it's notoriously edited on TV, might actually tell us a little something on who to keep an eye out for!
Looking at seasons 12-15, being one of the first 5 out of the limo gives you a pretty high chance of being final 4.
HEA wrote:
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bachelordata
Another week of featured screen time data! If you’re new around here, we define featured screen time by a specific criteria, so be sure to check the bullets below.
FEATURED SCREEN TIME: is defined as who is featured on the screen during a given segment. LENGTH: Segments are typically anywhere from 2 second to 30 seconds. Episode 2 had 362 identified segments.
When there is a large group without anyone featured, time goes towards GROUP.
For One-on-One dates, featured screen time goes to the contestant unless Katie is in an ITM (in the moment, those interviews in a separate room) or if the conversation focuses on Katie.
The full list will be posted on Patreon tomorrow morning!
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Re: Bachelor - Bachelorette - Statistics - NO Discussion - *Sleuthing - Spoilers*
bachelordata
A few days late but excited to share the first Fireworks Analysis for Bachelorette! Since you were curious, I’m looking at when contestants received a date with fireworks and how long they lasted.
🧨 Rocket indicates when the fireworks date occurred (week of the show, not episode)
Contestant picture shows the week they were eliminated
Yellow ring around the contestant indicates they were the season winner.
Note: Kaitlyn Bristowe’s season did not have any fireworks. Becca Kufrin’s season had fireworks on a 2-on-1 date but both people had been eliminated and they still showed the fireworks go off while Becca was alone
Guest- Guest
Re: Bachelor - Bachelorette - Statistics - NO Discussion - *Sleuthing - Spoilers*
bachelordata's profile picture
bachelordata
Another week of featured screen time data! If you’re new around here, we define featured screen time by a specific criteria, so be sure to check the bullets below.
FEATURED SCREEN TIME: is defined as who is featured on the screen during a given segment. LENGTH: Segments are typically anywhere from 2 second to 30 seconds. Episode 3 had 344 identified segments.
When there is a large group without anyone featured, time goes towards GROUP.
For One-on-One dates, featured screen time goes to the contestant unless Katie is in an ITM (in the moment, those interviews in a separate room) or if the conversation focuses on Katie
Guest- Guest
Re: Bachelor - Bachelorette - Statistics - NO Discussion - *Sleuthing - Spoilers*
bachelordata
Your 24 hour Instagram growth update is here! If you're new around here, check out the information below.
People are ordered by most followers to least.
The blue line chart is included to show growth rate. The y-axis is not consistent across contestants.
🟦 Blue box how each person ranks in total followers gained.
Pink box shows how each person ranks for growth RATE.
(: ABC)
Guest- Guest
Re: Bachelor - Bachelorette - Statistics - NO Discussion - *Sleuthing - Spoilers*
bachelordata
What are your odds of winning or leaving based on the order of overnight dates? For this analysis, we look at “winning” as receiving the final rose at the final rose ceremony. Of course, Peter and Arie’s seasons complicate these stats since they changed their mind after filming.
If we simply look at who got the final rose at the final rose ceremony, your best chances of winning have you at the FINAL overnight date. 5 of the last 10 seasons had the final rose winner in the last date.
If we look at Peter and Arie and say Madi and Lauren were the real winners, the stats are still at 5 of the last 10 seasons.
Looking at your odds of being eliminated after the overnight dates, the first date recipient is in the worst luck. If we expand that to your odds of winning, it gets worse. Only 1 of the last 10 seasons had the winner receiving the first overnight date. Then, if we exclude Hannah Ann (since Peter broke up with her shortly after filming) it’s a 0% chance.
We’ll see Monday night if these trends continue!
(: ABC
Guest- Guest
Re: Bachelor - Bachelorette - Statistics - NO Discussion - *Sleuthing - Spoilers*
bachelordata
You asked and we are here to deliver! One of our top questions this week was around who gets intro packages and what that might tell us.
When we look back at the last 5 seasons of The Bachelorette, we can’t find a lot of trends around who is final 4. That being said, we can safely say that the majority (not all!) are contestants that will have a storyline during the season. Those storylines don’t necessarily have to do with the lead though.
NOTE: Clare’s season didn’t really *have* intro packages. Most of the time was spent showing the men in flying out, quarantining, getting tested, etc. We used a segment where they semi-talked about a handful of contestants and their personal lives as Clare’s “intro packages.” We also added * to Tayshia’s final 4 since we are pretty sure filming was done before the premiere. For the *, we’re assuming production knew Tayshia’s final 4 when they actually edited the premiere.
Guest- Guest
Re: Bachelor - Bachelorette - Statistics - NO Discussion - *Sleuthing - Spoilers*
bachelordata
As we prepare for episode 2, how far can we expect the first 1 on 1 date recipient to go? Based on the last 10 seasons, none have gone on to win the season.
Season 16: due to Clare's season only lasting 1 week of filming (she only had 1 regular week of date), her data is excluded from this post. You may notice throughout Bachelorette visualizations that Clare or Tayshia may be missing - this is due to the irregularities of both their seasons
Guest- Guest
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