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Bachelor Australia - Matt Agnew - Season 7 - Betting Odds - *Sleuthing Spoilers*

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Post by Bobette on Mon Jul 29, 2019 10:27 pm

Seems punters have noticed how much of Abbie is in the promo laugh out loud  

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Post by Bachbee on Mon Jul 29, 2019 10:35 pm

@Bobette Disregarding Sports Bet it's Chelsie or Kristen for F1 imo. Is it possible that the odds could flip to Kristen's favor? Has that ever happened before, or do the odds for F1 usually stay the same?
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Post by Bobette on Mon Jul 29, 2019 10:41 pm

@Bachbee wrote:@Bobette Disregarding Sports Bet it's Chelsie or Kristen for F1 imo. Is it possible that the odds could flip to Kristen's favor? Has that ever happened before, or do the odds for F1 usually stay the same?

F1s odds are usually rock solid from start to finish.  Apparently there was some slight fluctuation between Alex and Nikki during Richie's season but for all the seasons I've sleuthed, F1 has never wavered.

There's no way Kristen or anyone else's odds will drop to Chelsea's IMO.  They may get close towards the end when people are blinded by the edit and think F2 has a chance, but Chelsea will remain favourite IMO.

Also Sportsbet only pay out on a winner, so it makes no difference to them what the odds are for F2 to F28.  The odds for non-F1s are interesting though because they reflect who the public is thinking.
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Post by butterflylove on Tue Jul 30, 2019 3:12 am

@Bobette wrote:Seems punters have noticed how much of Abbie is in the promo laugh out loud  

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Wait. Georgie into $3, who is she again 😂 - that seems so random.
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Post by Bobette on Tue Jul 30, 2019 3:25 am

@butterflylove I just ignored that because it's ridiculous having her that high in the rankings. laugh out loud  She's the "facial artistry" chick.
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Post by butterflylove on Tue Jul 30, 2019 3:44 am

@Bobette wrote:@butterflylove I just ignored that because it's ridiculous having her that high in the rankings. laugh out loud  She's the "facial artistry" chick.

I'm ignoring it too, but it made me laugh - like where has it even come from, so ridiculous? 😂
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Post by Bobette on Tue Jul 30, 2019 3:51 am

@butterflylove Either a lot of people are betting on her (unlikely), one person placed a very large bet (also not likely since there'd be a max bet limit) or Sportsbet are taking the piss (quite possible - since the odds don't matter for anyone other than F1, they could have a contestant at 1000.0 or 1.65 and it wouldn't matter because the only person they'll be paying out on is Chelsea, IMO)
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Post by butterflylove on Wed Jul 31, 2019 4:16 am

Bachelor Australia - Matt Agnew - Season 7 - Betting Odds - *Sleuthing Spoilers* - Page 17 Img_7410

Chelsie has come into even shorter odds - $1.60 into $1.45
Abbie moved out to $3.50 from $2.00, while Kristen stayed at $4.50
And Helena and Elly have moved shorten to round out the top 5.
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Post by butterflylove on Wed Jul 31, 2019 8:25 am

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Updated odds after the premiere. Unsurprisingly, Elly is the biggest mover of the night - $7.00 into $3.50
Chelsie moves back to her odds yesterday, but still the clear favourite to win.
Helena also moves in slightly, while Abbie and Kristen move out but still hold the top 5.
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Post by Bobette on Sun Aug 04, 2019 12:14 am

Chelsea is at 1.2 on TAB.  I doubt anyone would even bother betting for such a low return.

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Source: https://www.tab.com.au/sports/betting/Entertainment/competitions/The%20Bachelor
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Post by butterflylove on Sun Aug 04, 2019 8:05 am

Updated Sportsbet odds at 9pm on Sunday August 4th.
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Interesting to see Briana in at 9th favourite, while no winner sits 10th even after Matt has said he's found love.
Chelsie continues to shorten, though I have seen her the last couples days at $1.44, so her odds have gone out slightly in the last 24 hours.
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Post by Bobette on Sun Aug 04, 2019 8:28 am

@butterflylove Yeah I think after Nick a lot of punters would put in a bonus bet on "no winner" as an insurance policy.  I doubt TPTB would ever let it happen again though so more free money for Sportsbet.

Meanwhile Ladbrokes clearly don't give a rat's about Bach betting - they've got daylight between Chelsea and anyone else, and still have several of the eliminated contestants on the list.  What geniuses.  laugh out loud

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