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Bachelor Australia - Matt Agnew - Season 7 - Media SM - *Sleuthing Spoilers*

Norcalgal wrote: @Bobette said: "TBH, the first thing that came to my mind when I found out about the black hair factor was "I wonder if they head hunted some super hot Asian mathematician".

I said way back when Matt was first announced as Bach that he would go for brains over boobs!


I would just love it so much. Nerds are a tragically under-represented group on Australian television IMO. #nerdpride  Topics tagged under nerdpride on bachandbachettefans.net 3806527698

Adding that although we messed up the initial calculations (clearly I am not myself a hot Asian mathematician laugh out loud) the Sportsbet payout figures are still predicting a black haired winner, albeit only just:

Bobette wrote:Yes that's right - age/state/hair colour is not usually a huge giveaway, which is why I was so shocked about the apparent overwhelming evidence for black hair!  It makes sense for the figures to be tighter at this stage than we previously calculated.

HOWEVER!  It is worth noting that even though the difference between the payout figures is now less, black hair and NSW/VIC are still the lowest max loss, as per @Enough 's post.  And blonde still the least likely winning colour, along with brunette.  

So even though our miscalculations exaggerated the margin, Sportsbet are, technically, still predicting a black haired winner from NSW or VIC, and in past seasons, these categories have always proven to be accurate when compared to the winner.

Enough wrote: Correct me if I am wrong. Based on the above max bets and winning:

Blonde    Sportsbet will lose $100($243 -$143)
Black       Sportsbet will lose $97.50
Brunette  Sportsbet will lose $98.90
Red           Sportsbet will lose $100

With the states where the F1 will come from, the min loss for Sportsbet is either Vic or NEW with $50 nett loss

by Bobette
on Mon Jul 01, 2019 9:26 pm
 
Search in: Bachelor Australia - Season 7 - Matt Agnew - SM - Media
Topic: Bachelor Australia - Matt Agnew - Season 7 - Media SM - *Sleuthing Spoilers*
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