Bachelor Australia Season 6 - Nick Cummins - Betting Odds - *Sleuthing Spoilers*

@Loulou interesting POV. I am fascinated by this all bet thing. So how much is it today? Outside Australia, I think we cannot access. thanks

HEA, from what I can see Britt $1.70, Brooke $4.50 and Sophie $5.50. Don’t know about limits. Britt is the spoiled F1, Brooke is a favourite with viewers and a has alot of airtime each week so uneducated bets would favour her. Wondering if sophie has no one betting on her hence the high odds? I would have thought the F2 odds would go down a little during the show? Having said that her edit has not been great and inconsistent. Will be interesting to see what happens between now and frc. Just thinking about all scenarios and Sportsbet is the main indicator many think Britt is F1..

Brittany odds:
Sportsbet - 1.65
Ladbrokes - 1.50
BetEasy - 1.50
Pointsbet - 1.40

And this (free $? - max bet $50)

https://new.sportsbet.com.au/betting/entertainment/the-bachelor-australia/The-Bachelor-Australia-2018-3937231

@Loulou @socialise

so nothing changed and Britt is still favorite

who is the runner up?

Interesting that the max bets for Sophie, Britt and Brooke are $1000.

This means if Britt wins Sportsbet has the potential to lose $650 per $1000 bet, they would lose $3200 per $1000 bet for Sophie and $4000 per $1000 bet for Brooke. That is a massive loss to them if Sophie or Brooke win.
Source Sportsbet website

@Sundy thank you. always interesting to follow the updates. and thanks for the explanations!

this is cool - they have a table for all betting places and even for hair colour!? which by the way Blonde to win is $1.75 odds and brunette is $2.50

https://www.odds.com.au/sport/entertainment/the-bachelor/the-bachelor-australia-2018/

CMIIW but i just noticed that the betting sites have betting closes on the 28th of october 2018?? is that right?? Does that mean finale is after 28 October?!

22:00 | Sunday 28/10/2018

https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/entertainment/the-bachelor-australia/The-Bachelor-Australia-2018-3937231.html

LeapofFaith wrote:CMIIW but i just noticed that the betting sites have betting closes on the 28th of october 2018?? is that right?? Does that mean finale is after 28 October?!    

22:00 | Sunday 28/10/2018

https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/entertainment/the-bachelor-australia/The-Bachelor-Australia-2018-3937231.html

Now why would Sportsbet be paying out on the 28th October??? Surely they wouldn't get that wrong? I'm not convinced that the finale is on the 4th October. It makes zero sense that he would be locked in to Kokoda from at least beginning of June and miss all media committments. Curiouser and curiouser. Maybe we're going to get serious drama that requires multiple episodes before this thing is finished.


Edit: Sportsbet actually states that the 'event' of the outright winner for Bachelor 2018 happens on 28/10/18 at 10pm according to the above. So basically... the finale airs then and we find out the winner at the end of the show, ie. 10pm.

For what it's worth, the finale dates on Sportsbest are often wrong. They estimate them at the start of the season and guess badly it seems. I don't see how they could possibly stretch this to 28th October. Unless there's some kind of sporting event that runs for two weeks, I'm expecting a 4th Oct Finale.

Bobette wrote:For what it's worth, the finale dates on Sportsbest are often wrong.  They estimate them at the start of the season and guess badly it seems.  I don't see how they could possibly stretch this to 28th October.  Unless there's some kind of sporting event that runs for two weeks, I'm expecting a 4th Oct Finale.

So weird.

The 'hair colour of winner' market was suspended months ago. Those odds are historical and taken from before the start of the series.

Like Bobette said, I think the close date on Sportsbet is pretty irrelevant. I'm fairly certain that they've just put down some arbitrary date after the expected finale date -- so that betting doesn't close prematurely -- and then they will manually suspend betting on the night of the finale.

What I find really fascinating is the $1,000 max bet for Brittany. I've never seen Sportsbet permit such a large wager on the favourite in any of the previous Bachelor/Bachelorette/BIP seasons. It's usually a couple of hundred dollars. No winner!?

I can only think that if Brittany really is the winner then they might think it too obvious if they restricted betting on her to some very small amount and lifted the limits on the other girls. But, even in that scenario, it begs the question: why lift betting limits in the first place? Are there really people out there who have already bet $500 (the previous limit) on F2, F3, F4, and wanting to put more on? Or, is it more likely that they are raising the limits to induce more bets on Brit so they clean up when there is no winner? The no winner scenario ignores Nick's testimony that he has spent time with the winner but the behaviour of the bookies is perplexing.