Bachelorette Australia - Season 3 - Sophie Monk - Betting Info - *Sleuthing Spoilers*

SugarAndSpice wrote:

Bobette wrote:

snipped:

253.3 Elimination/Eviction markets apply only to official eliminations/evictions. Any contestant leaving of their own accord or removed by producers will not be treated as the next eliminated/evictee for betting purposes. Sportsbet reserves the right to void all bets placed on an elimination/eviction market should the initial line up for elimination/eviction be changed.

Source

The odds have already started changing today! So I'm guessing people are just diving in straight away now to bet on the favourite while their odds are more profitable. As you mentioned AAL, its interesting that Sportsbet don't have that disclaimer yet. I noticed throughout the Bachelor season there was a quote mentioning that Sportsbet may add contestants at any time (aka intruders), then after awhile they took that disclaimer away. This could be an interesting season for sportsbet odds then!

Also just to address the above disclaimer from Sportsbet, I believe this disclaimer only relates to bets placed on "the next to be eliminated". As bets for Bach/'ette is for an outright winner, that disclaimer does not apply. If a contestant walks, or is removed by producers, it is counted as a loss, and punters will lose their money, as their contestant did not "win".

AllAboutLove wrote:

SugarAndSpice wrote:

Bobette wrote:

snipped:

Source

The odds have already started changing today! So I'm guessing people are just diving in straight away now to bet on the favourite while their odds are more profitable. As you mentioned AAL, its interesting that Sportsbet don't have that disclaimer yet. I noticed throughout the Bachelor season there was a quote mentioning that Sportsbet may add contestants at any time (aka intruders), then after awhile they took that disclaimer away. This could be an interesting season for sportsbet odds then!

Also just to address the above disclaimer from Sportsbet, I believe this disclaimer only relates to bets placed on "the next to be eliminated". As bets for Bach/'ette is for an outright winner, that disclaimer does not apply. If a contestant walks, or is removed by producers, it is counted as a loss, and punters will lose their money, as their contestant did not "win".

Thanks for that info @SugarAndSpice

So if that's the case, wouldn't Sportsbet want to increase their max losses and betting max for Luke if he is not F1? Otherwise maybe Luke is F1 and his SM is all planned and someone did it for him. That's a lot of work and seems OTT but hey maybe that's the method this year?

One thing though...  Sportsbet had Odette with odds favorite and she was eliminated. Has she gone back on the show yet or spoiled to possibly do so? Also when would the SurvivorAU season end so odds would be known? I wonder if maybe the winner isn't known though for that show considering they said that they will do a live finale. So basically only final 2 would be known. Then again, if Odette is not one of those top 2 then the Sportsbet odds for her still don't make sense.

Will have to keep an eye out on Sportsbet because honestly, I have sleuthed potential negatives/cons for all the Sportsbets odds favorites (Luke, James, Jarrod, Jefferson) and which usually will strike them out for being F1. It's odd

SugarAndSpice wrote:I wonder if maybe the winner isn't known though for that show considering they said that they will do a live finale. So basically only final 2 would be known. Then again, if Odette is not one of those top 2 then the Sportsbet odds for her still don't make sense.

Will have to keep an eye out on Sportsbet because honestly, I have sleuthed potential negatives/cons for all the Sportsbets odds favorites (Luke, James, Jarrod, Jefferson) and which usually will strike them out for being F1. It's odd

It would totally make sense to increase the max bet on Luke if he does walk. Currently Luke is still at a maxbet of $10 with all the other contestants having a max bet of $20. If sportsbet truely don't know the outcome yet, then they are in safeguard mode for sure. I will see what happens opening night of the show though (all contestants were at $50 for the start of Matty's season).

In regards to Odette.. she's still on my betting ticket with odds of 1001! Maybe I should place $1 on her just for fun... I'm not sure when Survivor is finishing here, but if Odette comes back, it could be possible sportsbet didn't know she got eliminated half way through! No loss for them though, because any one who bet on her before she was eliminated lose their bet, and will have to place a new bet if she re-enters the competition again. BUT, like you said because SurvivorAU is going live this year with the finale, its very possible Sportsbet don't know!

Either way, I'm looking forward to tracking all the changes this season, especially if Sportsbet don't know the outcome (yet)!

Bobette wrote:@AllAboutLove
LOL at us both looking past Luke there front and centre as the rock solid favourite.  Nope!  Sorry Luke - I will not allow it!  

Sundy wrote:I always remember how I had slated Kiki in as someone that I was sure I was going to dislike and then when the season started it all changed. Luke's odd are hard to deny at this point